There are 2 disturbances in the Atlantic, and another could form in the Caribbean
The tropics are heating up Tuesday, with forecasters watching a disturbance near Bermuda and two other systems — one in the Atlantic near Turks and Caicos and the other in the Caribbean Sea.
The system that is about 150 miles north of Bermuda is producing limited showers and thunderstorms, but likely lost its window of opportunity to develop into a short-lived tropical depression as it moves toward cooler waters and strong winds, the National Hurricane Center said in its 8 p.m. advisory.
Labeled as Disturbance 1 on the map, the system’s development chance continues to decrease, with forecasters reducing its formation chances from 20% to a low 10% through the next two to five days.
What about the other two systems?
Forecasters are also watching a trough of low pressure stretching from the central Caribbean to the southwestern Atlantic, producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, the hurricane center said.
The disturbance is in friendly enough conditions for some gradual subtropical development over the next few days as it drifts north-northeast.
The forecast shows the system, labeled as Disturbance 2 on the map, meandering over the subtropical western Atlantic to the west or southwest of Bermuda.
The hurricane center is giving the system a 10% chance of formation through the next 48 hours and a 30% chance of formation through the next five days.
Additionally, an area of low pressure could form over the eastern Caribbean Sea by early this weekend, according to the hurricane center. Conditions are expected to be favorable enough for this disturbance, labeled as Disturbance 3 on the map, to see some gradual development as it moves west or west-northwest into the central Caribbean.
The hurricane center says it has no chance of formation within the next 48 hours and a low 20% chance of formation through the next five days.
What’s the next storm name?
Lisa is the next name on the list for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season.
This story was originally published October 25, 2022 at 6:57 AM with the headline "There are 2 disturbances in the Atlantic, and another could form in the Caribbean."
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